David Orr, Cook County Clerk

Orr releases first-ever referendum analysis 

Clerk’s office examines voting for ballot questions over the past 10 years
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Cass Cliatt
Friday, April 01, 2005

Cook County Clerk David Orr’s office has issued an unprecedented analysis of referendums appearing on suburban Cook County ballots over the past 10 years.
Local jurisdictions in suburban Cook County have put 891 referendums before voters during elections in the past decade, with 57 percent winning voter support.

An examination of referendums beginning with the primary election of 1995 and ending with the primary election of 2005 showed that suburban residents said “yes” to service-related referendums – dealing with such far-ranging initiatives as street cleaning, establishing senior programs and enhanced emergency 911 service – almost 77 percent of the time. Tax-related referendums fared the worst with an approval rate of 51 percent.

Ballot questions in categories related to infrastructure, changes in government and a category of miscellaneous initiatives – such as annexations and airport construction – earned approval from voters 63 to 66 percent of the time.

“Suburban Cook County voters overwhelmingly support more services in their local communities, infrastructure improvements and initiatives they think may streamline local governments,” Orr said. “Not surprisingly, residents are more hesitant about referendums they fear might affect their pocketbooks.”

Orr’s 10-year referendum report also indicated that suburban voters were most amenable to ballot questions posed countywide and by townships. Approval ratings were lower over the years for all other types of jurisdictions.

The analysis studied support for referendum questions by each jurisdiction type for cities and villages; townships; park, library, school, fire and sanitary districts; and the county.

Approval ratings were 100 percent and 75 percent respectively for countywide and township referendums, but didn’t reach 60 percent for any other type of jurisdiction. Park district referendums, which usually called for tax increases, were the least popular at 45 percent approval.

Other notable findings over the 10-year period:

  • Voters were 26 percent more likely to support tax increases through bond issues than direct tax adjustments, voting “yes” for 69 percent of bond-issue referendums, versus 43 percent for strictly worded tax referendums.
  • Referendums asking voters for tax increases to pay for services also enjoyed higher support than strictly worded tax referendums, 62 percent versus 43 percent.
  • Referendums posed to voters in primary elections won approval almost 5 percent more often than those during general elections.
  • Voters approved changes to city and village government only 53.5 percent of the time, but support for government-related changes for every other jurisdiction was almost 100 percent.
  • Suburban cities and villages put the most referendum questions on ballots over the past 10 years, 37.7 percent. School districts were a close second at 31.4 percent.

The full report is available at www.voterinfonet.com:
Analysis of Suburban Cook County Referendums: Feb. 1995-Feb.2005
For more information about the report, call Cass Cliatt, (312) 603-0931.


The questions put before voters: Categorizing the data
60.3 percent -- Tax-related referendums

At 60.3 percent, the large majority of referendums on suburban ballots since 1995 were solely tax related. These 537 ballot questions included referendums seeking voter approval for adjustments to tax rates, tax caps and tax extensions, as well as ballot questions that would affect taxes through the issue of bonds.

 
11 percent – Government referendums
Government-related referendums -- dealing with such issues as term limits, changing how elected officers are appointed, consolidating units of government, changing the form of government, and establishing home-rule authority – numbered 98 over the past decade, or 11 percent.

7.7 percent – Infrastructure referendums
Almost 8 percent of referendums dealt with infrastructure improvements. There were 69 ballot questions asking voters solely if they approve of the construction of new buildings, street maintenance, development plans, water systems or other capital projects. The wording of many of these referendums was advisory in nature and did not focus on the cost of funding the improvements. Again, ballot questions focusing on collecting funds for the improvements were counted among tax referendums.

4.8 percent – Service referendums
The smallest number of referendums, 4.8 percent, asked voters to support changes in the services offered by city, village, township and county governments. Included in these 43 ballot questions were such services as establishing senior housing, residential parking, ambulance service, fee-based recreation, expanding emergency 911 operations and library service for towns with municipal libraries.

School, park, fire and library jurisdictions did not appear in this category – although the argument could be made that they are exclusively service-based institutions – unless their ballot questions dealt with changes to a specific service program.

Also, while costs may have been associated with the service initiatives, the dominant service language for referendums in this category overshadowed references to the cost to voters. Referendums in which funding for these improvements dominated the ballot question were placed in the tax category.

16.2 percent – Miscellaneous referendums
Defying definition were 144 referendums presented to voters in the past 10 years that were mostly advisory in nature. These asked voters if they would support annexations, airport changes, gambling expansion, residency requirements for municipal staff and scores of other wide-ranging initiatives. Also included were referendums for which the dated records for the ballot questions were incomplete or unclear.


The numbers – A quick view
In every reference to voter support, the analysis counts the majority referendum votes cast only in suburban Cook County. For ballot questions posed by jurisdictions that cross county borders, the Cook County Clerk’s analysis examines only the approval rates for voters in suburban Cook County.
 Referendums per calendar year* – 1995-2005(Feb.)
Calendar year       Ref. requests         Passed  %         Passed
1995                             100                           53                     53.0%
1996                              88                             47                    53.4%
1997                              83                            51                     61.4%
1998                              82                            50                     61.0%
1999                              42                            16                     38.1%
2000                             101                           67                     66.3%
2001                             58                             33                     56.9%
2002                            133                            69                     51.9%
2003                             76                             55                      72.4%
2004                            123                            65                      52.8%
2005 – Feb.                  5                              4                         80.0%
Totals                          891                           510                     57.2%
*Multiple elections (primaries and general elections) were held in most years

Referendums by jurisdiction type – 1995-2005(Feb.)
(See report detail: How residents voted)

Jurisdiction/         Ref.         % of all      Passed     % Passed
district type        requests       refs
Countywide               6            0.7%            6              100 %
Fire                            55           6.2%          30                54.5%
Library                      73            8.2%         43                58.9%
Municipal                336           37.7%      197              58.6%
(city/village)
Park districts         111           12.5%        50               45.0%
Sanitary                    2                0.2%          0                00.0%
School                     280            31.4%     163               58.2%
Townships               28               3.1%       21                75.0%
Totals refs                891            100.0%   510              57.2%

Approval rates by referendum request type – 1995-2005(Feb.)
(See report detail: The questions put before voters)

Ref. type          Requests       % of Total         Passed             %  Passed
Infrastructure       69                    7.7%               44                       63.8%
Government         98                  11.0%              64                       65.3%
Service                 43                    4.8%               33                       76.7%
Tax & Bond          537                 60.3%             274                     51.0%
Miscellaneous    144                  16.2%            95                       66.0%
Totals                    891                100%              510                     57.2%